Analysis of the impact of digital technologies on the development of the national economy

Digital economy: theory and practice
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Abstract:

General global trends determine the transition to a new digital economy, it is noted by many researchers. There is a problem of quantifying how the national economy has transformed in the direction of existing trends. In addition, many researchers are of the opposite hypothesis about the potential results of digital transformation, that is of interest to test these hypotheses, based on the current state of the economy. In particular, it is of interest as far as the economy of the Russian Federation corresponds to global trends, how deeply its processes have undergone digitalization. All this stimulates the use of quantitative methods for analyzing the digital transformation of the economy. In the article the problem of influence of investments into information and communication technologies on development of economy of the Russian Federation is considered. As an analysis tool, correlation and regression analysis is used to build quantitative relationships between information and communication indicators and macroeconomic indicators of the Russian Federation. The statistical data provided on the website of the Federal State Statistics Service are taken as an information base. Based on the indicators presented on the website, the following informational factors were chosen for the research, such as total information technology costs, computer equipment purchase costs, software purchase costs. As a dependent of factors have been highlighted such traditional macroeconomic indicators of the Russian Federation as gross domestic product, gross national product, gross profit, gross value added, the consumer price index, the average per capita income, the final consumption expenditure, unemployment rate, foreign trade balance, budget deficit, gross capital formation. Based on a correlation analysis, conclusions were drawn about the presence of a statistical link between macroeconomic indicators of the Russian Federation and investments in information technology, and a many hypotheses about the development of world trends in Russia were tested. As part of the correlation analysis, external factors affecting the development of information and communication technologies are identified, the quantitative assessment of the impact of these factors is given. In order to assess the impact of information and communication technologies on the Russian economy, many models have been built that have a distributed form of impact of information and communication indicators on macroeconomic indicators.