Performance evaluation of investments into transport building with allowance for uncertainty and risk

In the article the likelihood distributed performance evaluation of investments into transport building with allowance for specification of quantity of uncertainty and risk is considered by a method of integrated convolutions of numerical sequences. Numerical examples of a likelihood estimation of public efficiency of investments into building automobile and railways, the analysis of adequacy of model, accuracy and reliability of the estimations received by the offered method, a corrective action method on risk and a Monte Carlo method are resulted.